Roy Morgan poll mid March 2014

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 873 of whom 838 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 03 March to 16 March 2014

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 45.5% (-3.0%)
• Labour 31.5% (+1.0%)
• Green 14.0% (+3.5%)
• NZ First 3.5% (-1.0%)
• Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Mana 0.0% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 1.5% (-1.0%)
• Internet 0.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 40
• Green 18
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 40 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/121

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 61.0% (-4.0%)
• Wrong 25.5% (+2.0)
• Can’t Say 13.5% (+2.0%)