Roy Morgan poll early March 2014

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 977 of whom 943 have a party preference

Undecideds: 3.5%

Dates: 17 February to 02 March 2014

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 48.5% (+0.5%)
• Labour 30.5% (+0.5%)
• Green 10.5% (-1.5%)
• NZ First 4.5% (-1.0%)
• Maori 1.5% (+1.0%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 1.0% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 2.5% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 62
• Labour 39
• Green 14
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/121 – three more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 54/121 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/121

On this poll a centre-right Government would be formed.

Country Direction

• Right 65.0% (+1.5%)
• Wrong 23.5% (nc)
• Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.5%)