Roy Morgan poll mid January 2014

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,509 of whom 1,449 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 06 January to 19 January 2014

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 43.5% (-1.5%)
• Labour 33.5% (+3.0%)
• Green 12.5% (-2.0%)
• NZ First 4.0% (-1.0%)
• Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
• ACT 0.0% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 2.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 43
• Green 16
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 43 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 63.0% (+4.5%)
• Wrong 23.5% (-5.0%)
• Can’t Say 13.5% (+0.5%)