Roy Morgan poll early Feb 2014

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 846 of whom 812 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 20 January to 02 February 2014

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 47.0% (+3.5%)
• Labour 33.0% (-0.5%)
• Green 11.0% (-1.5%)
• NZ First 4.5% (+0.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 0.0% (nc)
• Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Conservative 1.5% (-1.01.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 61
• Labour 42
• Green 14
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/123 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 42 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 57/123 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/123

On this poll there would be a centre-right Government,

Country Direction

• Right 63.5% (+0.5%)
• Wrong 24.5% (+1.0%)
• Can’t Say 12.0% (-1.5%)