One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,007 respondents, of whom 834 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 13%

Dates: 15 to 19 February 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 51.0% (+6.0%)
• Labour 34.0% (nc)
• Green 8.0% (-5.0%)
• ACT 0.4% (-0.1%)
• Maori 0.9% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
• Mana 0.0% (-0.3%)
• NZ First 3.1% (-0.8%)
• Conservative 1.3% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

• National 64
• Labour 44
• Green 11
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Conservative 0
• Total 125

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/125 – three more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 44 + Greens 11 + Mana 1= 56/125 – seven fewer than minimum needed to govern
• C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/125

On this poll there would be a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

• John Key 43% (+1.0%)
• David Cunliffe 10% (-2.0%)
• Winston Peters 4% (nc)

Winston Peters

• 43% say he should be a Minister
• 43% say he should not

Most important issues

• Education 40%
• Health 37%
• Jobs 30%
• Child poverty 27%
• Wages 23%
• Crime 21%
• Income tax 17%
• Asset sales 17%
• House prices 15%
• Inequality 14%

Minimum Wage

• Increase to more than $15/hour 23%
• Increase to $15/hour 46%
• Increase to less than $15/hour 16%
• Stay at $13.75/hour 13%

NZ Flag

• Design a new flag 28%
• Keep current flag 72%
• If change, 85% say public should decide design