Herald on Sunday Key Research Poll

Polling Company: Key Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 18.6%

Poll Size: 500 respondents, of whom 407 had a voting preference

Dates: December 2013

Client: Herald on Sunday

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

• National 48.2%
• Labour 39.6%
• Green 7.6%
• NZ First 1.0%
• Maori 0.7%
• United Future 1.0%
• ACT 0%
• Mana 0.2%
• Conservative 0.7%

Projected Seats

• National 60
• Labour 49
• Green 9
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• ACT 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/124 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 49 + Greens 9 + Mana 1 = 59/124 -four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/124

On this poll, the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• Key 45%
• Cunliffe 18%

Asset Sales

• 37% say less likely to vote National because of them