Roy Morgan poll late September 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 934 of whom 887 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 16 September 2013 to 29 September 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 42.0% (+1.0%)
• Labour 37.0% (+4.5%)
• Green 11.5% (-3.5%)
• NZ First 4.5% (-2.0%)
• Maori 1.0% (nc)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 2.0% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 54
• Labour 47
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 54 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 56/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 47 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 63/122 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll Labour could form a CL Government.

Country Direction

• Right 59.0% (+6.5%)
• Wrong 29.5% (-6.0%)
• Can’t Say 11.5% (-0.5%)