Roy Morgan poll early October 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 839 of whom 801 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.5%

Dates: 30 September 2013 to 13 October 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 41.5% (-0.5%)
• Labour 37.0% (nc)
• Green 12.5% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 5.0% (+0.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 0.5% (-1.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 50
• Labour 44
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 50 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 52/121 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 44 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 6 + Maori 3 = 9/122

On this poll NZ First could form a CL Government or NZ First and Maori Party could form a CR Government.

Country Direction

• Right 55.0% (-4.0%)
• Wrong 31.0% (+1.5%)
• Can’t Say 14.0% (+2.5%)