Roy Morgan poll late August 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 819 of whom 778 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 12 August 2013 to 25 August 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 44.0% (nc)
• Labour 31.5% (-2.5%)
• Green 14.0% (nc)
• NZ First 5.5% (+2.5%)
• Maori 2.0% (nc)
• United Future 0.5% (+0.5)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 1.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 53
• Labour 38
• Green 17
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 56/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/121

On this poll there NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 58.0% (nc)
• Wrong 30.5% (+0.5)
• Can’t Say 11.5% (-0.5%)