Roy Morgan poll early September 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 828 of whom 778 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.0%

Dates: 26 August 2013 to 08 September 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 41.0% (-3.0%)
• Labour 32.5% (+1.0%)
• Green 15.0% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 6.5% (+1.0%)
• Maori 1.0% (-1.0%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 5040
• Labour 40
• Green 18
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 8
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 50 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 52/122 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 40 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 8 + Maori 3 = 11/122

On this poll NZ First could form a CL Government or NZ First and Maori Party could form a CR Government.

Country Direction

• Right 52.5% (-5.5%)
• Wrong 35.5% (+5.0%)
• Can’t Say 12.0% (+0.5%)