One News Colmar Brunton poll September 2013
September 25, 2013
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: approx 1,000 respondents of whom approx 860 had a voting preference
Undecideds: Dates: estimate 14 to 18 September 2013
Client: One News
Report: One News
Party Support
- National 47.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 34.0% (+1.0%)
- Green 12.0% (-2.0%)
- ACT
- Maori 1.0% (-0.6%)
- United Future
- Mana
- NZ First 4.0% (+0.7%)
- Conservative 1.0% (+0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 43
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 124
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/124 – two fewer than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 43 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 60/124 – three fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/124
The Maori Party would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- John Key 42% (+1.0%)
- David Cunliffe 12% (-1.0% from Shearer)
- Winston Peters 4% (nc)