Roy Morgan poll late July 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 824 of whom 791 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 15 July 2013 to 28 July 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 51.0% (+4.0%)
• Labour 29.0% (-2.0%)
• Green 10.0% (-1.5%)
• NZ First 4.0% (-0.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Mana 1.0% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 1.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 66
• Labour 37
• Green 13
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/122 – six more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 37 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 51/122 – eleven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll there would be a centre-right government.

Country Direction

• Right 58.5% (+0.5%)
• Wrong 30.0% (+0.5%)
• Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.0%)