Roy Morgan poll early August 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 919 of whom 878 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.5%

Dates: 29 July 2013 to 11 August 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 44.0% (-7.0%)
• Labour 34.0% (+5.0%)
• Green 14.0% (+4.0%)
• NZ First 3.0% (-1.0%)
• Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 55
• Labour 42
• Green 18
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 42 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/121

On this poll there would be a centre-left government.

Country Direction

• Right 58.0% (-0.5%)
• Wrong 30.0% (nc)
• Can’t Say 12.0% (+0.5%)