Roy Morgan poll late June 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 971 of whom 913 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.0%

Dates: 17 June 2013 to 30 June 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 46.5% (+2.5%)
• Labour 31.5% (-1.5%)
• Green 13.0% (+1.5%)
• NZ First 3.5% (-2.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
• ACT 0.0% (-0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 59
• Labour 40
• Green 17
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/122 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 40 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 58/122 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 57.0% (+3.0%)
• Wrong 32.0% (-1.5%)
• Can’t Say 11.0% (-1.5%)