Roy Morgan poll early July 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 956 of whom 918 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 01 July 2013 to 14 July 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 47.0% (+0.5%)
• Labour 31.0% (-0.5%)
• Green 11.5% (-1.5%)
• NZ First 4.5% (+1.5%)
• Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (+0.5%)
• Mana 1.5% (+1.0%)
• Conservative 1.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 60
• Labour 39
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 2
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + Mana 2 = 56/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll there would be a centre-right government.

Country Direction

• Right 58.0% (+1.0%)
• Wrong 29.5% (-2.5%)
• Can’t Say 12.5% (+1.5%)