3 News Reid Research Poll July 2013
July 22, 2013
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom 831 have a voting preference
Undecideds: 14.2%
Dates: 09 to 17 July 2013
Client: 3 News
Report: 3NewsPoll July 2013
Party Support
- National 49.5% (+2.4%)
- Labour 31.0% (-2.1%)
- Green 12.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.2% (nc)
- Maori 1.6% (-0.6%)
- United Future 0.2% (-0.2%)
- Mana 0.2% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 3.9% (+1.7%)
- Conservative 1.1% (-0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 40
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/124 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 56/124 – seven fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/123
On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- Key 42.0% (+1.3%)
- Shearer 12.1% (+1.6%)
- Peters 7.0% (+0.9%)
- Norman 1.7% (-1.9%)
Leadership Performance Ratings
- John Key – 52.0% (-3.0%) well and 32.2% (+1.9%) poor = +19% net well (-4.9%)
- David Shearer – 26.1% (-10.1%) well and 43.3% (+7.0%) poor = -17.2% net well (-17.1%)
Kim Dotcom
- 52% believe Kim Dotcom’s claims John Key knew of him before the raids
- 34% believe Key’s denials
David Shearer
- 42% say Shearer should step down as Labour leader
- 45% say Shearer should remain
- 39% of Labour voters say Shearer should step down, 51% say stay
Alternate Labour Leaders
- David Cunliffe 26%
- Grant Robertson 16%
- Andrew Little 9%