Roy Morgan poll late May 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,057 of whom 1,004 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 13 May 2013 to 26 May 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 41.0% (-3.0%)
• Labour 35.0% (+3.0%)
• Green 12.0% (nc)
• NZ First 4.5% (-0.5%)
• Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (-1.0%)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 2.5% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

• National 53
• Labour 46
• Green 16
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 53 + United Future 1 = 54/120 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 46 + Greens 16 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 55.5% (-1.0%)
• Wrong 32.5% (+2.0%)
• Can’t Say 12.0% (-1.0%)