Roy Morgan poll late April 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 877 of whom 833 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 15 April 2013 to 28 April 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 46.5% (+6.0%)
• Labour 31.5% (-4.0%)
• Green 11.5% (-2.5%)
• NZ First 4.5% (-0.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Conservative 2.0% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 61
• Labour 41
• Green 14
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 61 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 56/120 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 54.5% (+3.0%)
• Wrong 34.0% (-1.5%)
• Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.5%)