Roy Morgan poll early May 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 894 of whom 849 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 29 April 2013 to 12 May 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 44.0% (-2.5%)
• Labour 32.0% (+0.5%)
• Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 5.0% (+0.5%)
• Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 1.5% (+1.0%)
• Mana 1.0% (nc)
• Conservative 1.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 55
• Labour 40
• Green 15
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 55 + United Future 1 = 56/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 40 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 56.5% (+2.0%)
• Wrong 30.5% (-3.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (+1.5%)