Fairfax Ipsos Poll May 2013

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 of whom 828 have a party preference

Undecideds: 17.2%

Dates: 20 May 2013 to 24 May 2013

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

• National 49.4% (+4.5%)
• Labour 31.9% (-4.4%)
• Green 11.2% (+0.5%)
• NZ First 3.2% (+0.4%)
• Maori 1.6% (+0.3%)
• United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
• ACT 0.1% (-0.3%)
• Mana0.1% (-1.3%)
• Conservative 1.6% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 63
• Labour 46
• Green 11
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 63 + ACT1 + United Future 1 = 65/124 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 46 + Greens 11 + Mana 1 = 58/124 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 59.2% (+7.0%)
• Wrong 40.4% (-7.4%)