3 News Reid Research Poll May 2013

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom 849 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 12.8%

Dates: 17 to 23 May 2013

Client: 3 News

Report: 3NewsPoll may 2013

Party Support

• National 47.1% (-2.3%)
• Labour 33.1% (+2.9%)
• Green 12.0% (+0.5%)
• ACT 0.2% (-0.3%)
• Maori 2.2%  (+1.2%)
• United Future 0.4% (+0.3%)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
• NZ First 2.2% (-1.6%)
• Conservative 1.5% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

• National 59
• Labour 41
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• Key 40.7% (+3.1%)
• Shearer 10.5% (+0.5%)
• Peters 6.1% (+0.8%)
• Norman 3.6% (+0.3%)

Leadership Performance Ratings

• John Key – 55.0% (-0.3%) well and 30.3% (-1.9%) poor = +24.7% net well (+1.6%)
• David Shearer – 36.2% (+3.8%) well and 36.3% (+0.5%) poor = -0.1% net well (+3.3%)

Labour/Green power policy

• Support 54%
• Oppose 39%

Waka Jumping

• 77% support a law to allow parties to expel from Parliament List MPs
• 18% opposed