Roy Morgan poll early April 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 879 of whom 830 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 01 April 2013 to 14 April 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 40.5% (-3.5%)
• Labour 35.5% (+1.0%)
• Green 13.5% (+0.5%)
• NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
• Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 50
• Labour 43
• Green 17
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 50 + United Future 1 = 51/121 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 43 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 67/120 – six more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 51.5% (-2.0%)
• Wrong 35.5% (+1.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (+0.5%)