3 News Reid Research Poll April 2013

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Approx 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 13 to 18 April 2013

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

• National 49.4% (-2.0%)
• Labour 30.2% (-2.4%)
• Green 11.5% (+0.7%)
• ACT 0.5% (+0.4%)
• Maori 1.0%  (+0.6%)
• United Future
• Mana 1.0% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 3.8% (+0.4%)
• Conservative 2.0% (+1.1%)

Projected Seats

• National 63
• Labour 39
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/123 – three more than minimum 63 needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 55/123 – seven fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• Key 37.6% (-3.4%)
• Shearer 10.0% (nc)
• Peters
• Norman

Leadership Performance Ratings

• John Key – 55.3% (-1.5%) well and 32.2% (+6.4%) poor = +23.1% net well (-7.9%)
• David Shearer – 32.4% (-2.5%) well and 35.8% (-3.8%) poor = -3.4% net well (-6.3%)

GCSB

• 50% trusted
• 40% not trusted
• 11% unsure

Kim Dotcom

• 48% should be allowed to stay
• 42% sent to US
• 10% unsure