Roy Morgan poll early March 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 977 of whom 928 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 25 February 2013 to 10 March 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 43.5% (-4.0%)
• Labour 32.5% (+2.0%)
• Green 13.5% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
• Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.0% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 54
• Labour 40
• Green 17
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 54 + United Future 1 = 55/122 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 40 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 64/120 – two more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 51.5% (-2.5%)
• Wrong 37.5% (+5.0%)
• Can’t Say 11.0% (-2.5%)