Roy Morgan poll early February 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,008 of whom 973 have a party preference

Undecideds: 3.5%

Dates: 27 January 2013 to 10 February 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 44.0% (-2%)
• Labour 34.5% (+3%)
• Green 13.5% (nc)
• NZ First 4.0% (+1.5%)
• Maori 0.5% (-1.0%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 2.0% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 44
• Green 17
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + United Future 1 = 58/123 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 44 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 62/123 – one more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 55.0% (-2.0%)
• Wrong 30.5% (nc)
• Can’t Say 14.5% (+2.0%)