Fairfax Ipsos poll February 2013

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 of whom 828 have a party preference

Undecideds: 17.2%

Dates: 10 February 2013 to 14 February 2013

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

• National 44.9% (-1.3%)
• Labour 36.3% (+1.9%)
• Green 10.7% (+0.2%)
• NZ First 2.8% (-1.0%)
• Maori 1.3% (-0.1%)
• United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
• ACT 0.4% (+0.4%)
• Mana 1.4% (+0.8%)
• Conservative 1.6% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 46
• Green 13
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 2
• NZ First 0
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + United Future 1 = 58/122 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 46 + Greens 13 + Mana 2 = 61/122 – one fewerthan the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Should Hekia Parata be removed from Education

• Yes 60%
• No 22%
• Don’t Know 18%

Was David Bain wrongfully imprisoned?

• Yes 40%
• No 28%
• Unsure 32%

Should David Bain get compensation?

• Yes 60%