3 News Reid Research Poll February 2013
February 24, 2013
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom 807 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 16.2%
Dates: 12 to 21 February 2013
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 51.4% (+4.4%)
- Labour 32.6% (-2.0%)
- Green 10.8% (-2.2%)
- ACT 0.1% (-0.1%)
- Maori 0.4% (-0.8%)
- United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 3.4% (+1.4%)
- Conservative 0.9% (+0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 64
- Labour 41
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 125
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/125 – three more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 56/125 – seven fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 41.0% (+3.6%)
- Shearer 10.0% (-2.6%)
- Peters 4.7% (-1.1%)
- Norman 1.8% (-0.4%)
Leadership Performance Ratings
- John Key – 56.8% (+4.9%) well and 25.8% (-3.6%) poor = +31.0% net well (+8.5%)
- David Shearer – 34.9% (+3.3%) well and 32.0% (-2.4%) poor = 2.9% net well (+5.7%)