Roy Morgan poll late January 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 14 January 2013 to 27 January 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 46.0% (nc)
• Labour 31.5% (nc)
• Green 13.5% (+1.5%)
• NZ First 5.5% (+0.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 0.5% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 38
• Green 16
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 16 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction.0

• Right 57% (+3.5%)
• Wrong 30.5% (-3.0%)
• Can’t Say 12.5% (-0.5%)