Roy Morgan poll early January 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 02 January 2013 to 14 January 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 46.0% (+0.5%)
• Labour 31.5% (-2.0%)
• Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 5.0% (nc)
• Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (=0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 39
• Green 15
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 53.5% (+0.5%)
• Wrong 33.5% (-0.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)