Roy Morgan poll December 2012

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 880 of whom 840 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.5%

Dates: 26 November 2012 to 09 December 2012

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 45.5% (+0.5%)
• Labour 33.5% (+2.0%)
• Green 11.0% (-2.5%)
• NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)
• Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 41
• Green 14
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 53.0% (+4.5%)
• Wrong 34.0% (-3.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)