One News Colmar Brunton November 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds:

Dates: 24 to 29 November 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 44.0% (-1.0%)
• Labour 35.0% (+3.0%)
• Green 13.0% (+1.0%)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.4%)
• Maori 1.0% (-1.2%)
• United Future 1.0% (+0.8%)
• Mana 0.0% (-1.0%)
• NZ First 4.0% (-0.9%)
• Conservative 1.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 55
• Labour 45
• Green 17
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Conservative 0
• Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – 5 less than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 45 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 63/121 -1 more than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• John Key 39% (-3.0%)
• David Shearer 15% (+4.0%)