One News Colmar Brunton Poll October 2012
November 21, 2012
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,009 of whom 856 had a party vote preference
Undecideds: 11%
Dates: 27 October to 31 October 2012
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 45.0% (nc)
- Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 12.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.6% (-0.3%)
- Maori 2.2% (-0.7%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Mana 1.0% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 4.9% (+3.1%)
- Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 41
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – 1 less than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 58/121 -3 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 42% (-2%)
- David Shearer 11% (-1%)
- Winston Peters 6% (+2%)
- Russel Norman 3% (+1%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 44% (+3%)
- Worse 34% (-2%)
- Same 22% (-1%)
Partial Asset Sales
- Support 30% (+2%)
- Oppose 64% (-1%)
- Unsure 6% (-1%)