Herald DigiPoll September 2012

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: Unknown

Poll Size: presume 750 respondents

Dates: Unknown, early September

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

• National 47.9% (+0.4%)
• Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
• Green 10.7% (+1.6%)
• NZ First 5.5% (+1.1%)
• Maori 1.5% (+0.2%)
• United Future 0.3% (-0.2%)
• ACT 0.2% (-0.3%)
• Mana 0.3% (-1.4%)
• Conservative 1.4% (+0.9%)

Projected Seats

• National 59
• Labour 39
• Green 13
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• ACT 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except National winning Epsom (on basis of TVNZ poll).

Coalition Options

• CR – National 59 + ACT 0 + United Future 1 = 60/123 – 2 less than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 13 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 60/126 -2 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• Key 65.6% (+2.1%)
• Shearer 12.9% (-1.3%)

Country Direction

• Right 48.1% (-1.6%)
• Wrong 42.7% (-1.4%)