One News Colmar Brunton poll July 2012
August 5, 2012
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,005 of whom 878 had a party vote preference
Undecideds:
Dates: 28 July to 1 August 2012
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 48.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 32.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 12.0% (-1.0%)
- ACT 0.5% (-0.2%)
- Maori 2.3% (+1.0%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- Mana 0.4% (-0.6%)
- NZ First 2.5% (+0.3%)
- Conservative 0.9% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 40
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Greens 15 + Mana 1= 56/122 -5 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 45% (-3%)
- David Shearer 13% (-1%)
Partial Asset Sales
- 32% in favour
- 62% against
- 59% say they could afford to buy $1,000 of shares
- 41% say they could not
- 34% say they are very or quite likely to buy shares
- 25% say not likely to buy shares and 40% not at all likely
Alcohol minimum price
- 54% support a minimum price
- 42% do not