Roy Morgan poll late June 2012

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,057, of whom 1,020 have a party preference

Undecideds: 3.5%

Dates: 08 June 2012 to 24 June 2012

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 47.5% (+1.5%)
• Labour 32.0% (+1.0%)
• Green 12.0% (-0.5%)
• NZ First 4.0% (-1.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (nc)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (+0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 60
• Labour 41
• Green 15
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 60 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 57/121 – four less than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 52.0% (+4.0%)
• Wrong 34.5% (-3.0%)
• Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%)