Roy Morgan poll late May 2012

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 944, of whom 906 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 14 May 2012 to 27 May 2012

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 44.0% (-0.5%)
• Labour 30.5% (+0.5%)
• Green 13.5% (-1.5%)
• NZ First 5.0% (-0.5%)
• Maori 2.0% (+1.0%)
• United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
• ACT 1.0% (+1.0%)
• Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 55
• Labour 38
• Green 17
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 55 + United Future 1 = 56/122 – 5 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/121 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 49.0% (-2.0%)
• Wrong 38.0% (+2.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (-0.5%)