One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2012
June 4, 2012
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds:
Dates: assume 26 May to 31 May 2012
Client: One News
Report: One News
Party Support
- National 47.0% (-4.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (+4.0%)
- Green 13.0% (+2.0%)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.0% (+0.1%)
- United Future 0% (-0.2%)
- Mana 1.0% (nc)
- NZ First 2.0% (-1.1%)
- Conservative 1.0% (-0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 41
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – 2 less than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 59/122 -3 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 48% (nc)
- David Shearer 14% (+3%)