3 News Reid Research Poll June 2012

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: assumed 02 to 07 June 2012

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

• National 45.8% (-4.0%)
• Labour 33.2% (+3.8%)
• Green 14.4% (+0.3%)
• ACT 0.5% (+0.3%)
• Maori 1.4%  (-0.2%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• Mana 0.3% (-0.6%)
• NZ First 2.8% (+0.5%)
• Conservative 1.1% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 42
• Green 18
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/123 – three fewer than minimum 62 needed to govern
• CL – Labour 42 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 61/122 -one fewer than minimum 62 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• Key 40.5% (-3.7%)
• Shearer 12.3% (+1.9%)
• Peters 4.8%
• Norman 4.0%