Roy Morgan poll late April 2012

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 889, of whom 840 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 16 April 2012 to 29 April 2012

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 47.0% (-2.5%)
• Labour 28.5% (+2.0%)
• Green 15.0% (+2.5%)
• NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (nc)
• United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (+0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 35
• Green 18
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – 3 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 35 + Greens 18 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 60/121 – 1 fewer than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 55.0% (-0.5%)
• Wrong 32.5% (+1.5%)
• Can’t Say 12.5% (-1.0%)