Roy Morgan Poll late March 2012

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 948, of whom 915 have a party preference

Undecideds: 3.5%

Dates: 12 March 2012 to 1 April 2012

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 44.0% (-4.5%)
• Labour 30.5% (+0.5%)
• Green 17.0% (+4.5%)
• NZ First 5.0% (nc)
• Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 53
• Labour 36
• Green 20
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/122 – 6 less than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 36 + Greens 20 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 63/122 – 2 greater than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 53.5% (+1.0%)
• Wrong 29.5% (-4.5%)
• Can’t Say 17.0% (+3.5%)