One News Colmar Brunton Poll March 2012
April 1, 2012
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds:
Dates: assume 25 March to 29 March 2012
Client: One News
Report: One News
Party Support
- National 51.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 29.0% (+1.0%)
- Green 11.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 1% (-0.7%)
- Maori 1% (-1.0%)
- United Future 0% (-0.1%)
- Mana 1% (NC)
- NZ First 3% (-1.2%)
- Conservative 1% (-1.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 38
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 + Mana 1= 53/122 -9 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 48% (-4%)
- David Shearer 11% (-4% from Goff)