Roy Morgan Poll early March 2012

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 904, of whom 868 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 27 February 2012 to 11 March 2011

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 48.5% (+3.0%)
• Labour 30.0% (-1.5%)
• Green 12.5% (-0.5%)
• NZ First 5.0% (nc)
• Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 59
• Labour 36
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/122 – 1 less than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 36 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 58/122 – 4 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 52.5% (-1.0%)
• Wrong 34.0% (+1.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.5% (-0.5%)