Roy Morgan poll 24 November 2011

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 959, of whom 921 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 22 to 24 November 2011

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 49.5% (-3.5%)
• Labour 23.5% (-1.0%)
• Green 14.5% (+1.5%)
• ACT 1.5% (nc)
• Maori 1.0% (-2.0%)
• United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
• NZ First 6.5% (+3.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 60
• Labour 29
• Green 18
• ACT 2
• Maori 4
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 8
• Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.Tonga.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 60 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 63/123 – 1 more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 29 + Greens 18 + NZ First 8 + Mana 1 = 57/122 – 5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 49.5% (-11.0%)
• Wrong 31.0% (+7.0%)
• Can’t Say 19.5% (+4.0%)