One News Colmar Brunton Poll 24 Nov 2011
November 24, 2011
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds:
Dates: 19 November to 23 November 2011
Client: One News
Report: One News
Party Support
- National 50.0% (-3.0%)
- Labour 28.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 10.0% (-3.0%)
- ACT 1.7% (+0.1%)
- Maori 2.0% (+0.4%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
- Mana 1.0% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 4.2% (+2.0%)
- Conservative 2.4% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 36
- Green 13
- ACT 2
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/122 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana 1= 50/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 52% (-1%)
- Phil Goff 15% (+2%)