One News Colmar Brunton Poll 17 November 2011
November 20, 2011
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,006
Undecideds:
Dates: 12 November to 16 November 2011
Client: One News
Report: One News
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 26.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 13.0% (+4.0%)
- ACT 1.6% (+0.1%)
- Maori 1.6% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.3% (-0.5%)
- Mana 1.3% (+1.1%)
- NZ First 2.2% (-0.7%)
- Conservative 1.4% (+0.9%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 32
- Green 16
- ACT 2
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 2
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 69/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 32 + Greens 16 + Mana 2= 50/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 53% (-2%)
- Phil Goff 13% (-1%)
- Winston Peters 3%