One News Colmar Brunton Poll 10 November 2011
November 10, 2011
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: Estimate 1000
Undecideds:
Dates: 05 November to 09 November 2011
Client: One News
Report: One News
Party Support
- National 54.0% (-2.0%)
- Labour 28.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 9.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.5% (+0.6%)
- Maori 2.1% (+0.8%)
- United Future 0.8% (+0.7%)
- Mana 0.2% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 2.9% (+0.7%)
- Conservative 0.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 35
- Green 12
- ACT 2
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/122 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Greens 12 + Mana 1= 48/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 55% (-3%)
- Phil Goff 14% (+4%)