Fairfax Research International poll early November 2011
November 9, 2011
Polling Company: Research International
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000
Dates: 03 to 07 November 2011
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 52.5% (-0.1%)
- Labour 25.9% (-5.4%)
- Green 12.6% (+2.9%)
- ACT 1.0% (-0.2%)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.3%)
- United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
- Mana 0.7% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 2.8% (+1.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 33
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 50/124 -12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 52.2% (-0.6%)
- Phil Goff 13.5% (+4.4%)