One News Colmar Brunton Poll September 2011
October 2, 2011
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 858 had a party preference
Undecideds: 10%
Dates: 24 to 28 September 2011
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 56.0% (nc)
- Labour 29.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 9.0% (+3.0%)
- ACT 1.3% (-0.4%)
- Maori 1.1% (-0.3%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Mana 0.6% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 1.9% (-0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 36
- Green 11
- ACT 2
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 72/123 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 11 + Mana 1= 48/122 -14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 59% (+2%)
- Phil Goff 8% (nc)
- Winston Peters 2% (nc)
Economic Outlook
- Better 45% (-4%)
- Worse 35% (+5%)
- Same 20% (nc)
NZ doing good job of Rugby World Cup Hosting
- Yes 90%
- No 5%
Blame for RWC Opening Night Issues
- The Government 14%
- The Auckland Council 65%
- Neither 6%
- Other 8%
Knowledge of Date of General Election
- End of this year 77%
- Next year 11%
- Not announced yet 8%
- Unsure 4%
What outcome matters more
- Rugby World Cup 30%
- General Election 66%