Roy Morgan poll late September 2011
September 17, 2011
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 938, of whom 882 have a party preference
Undecideds: 6%
Dates: 28 August to 11 September 2011
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 57.0% (+5.0%)
- Labour 26.0% (-3.5%)
- Green 7.5% (-1.5%)
- ACT 1.5% (-0.5%)
- Maori 2.5% (+1.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 3.5% (nc)
- Mana 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 71
- Labour 33
- Green 9
- ACT 2
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 71 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 74/121 – 13 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 9 + Mana 1 = 43/122 – 18 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 60.0% (+1.0%)
- Wrong 28.0% (+0.5%)
- Can’t Say 12.0% (-1.5%)