One News Colmar Brunton Poll August 2011
September 5, 2011
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,006, of whom 847 had a party preference
Undecideds: 11%
Dates: 13 to 17 August 2011
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 56.0% (+3.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (+3.0%)
- Green 6.0% (-4.0%)
- ACT 1.7% (-1.4%)
- Maori 1.4% (-1.6%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.2%)
- Mana 0.9% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 2.3% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 37
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 72/122 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 8 + Mana 1= 46/122 -16 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 57% (+3%)
- Phil Goff 8% (-1%)
- Winston Peters 2% (-1%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 49% (-3%)
- Worse 31% (+3%)
- Same 19% (-1%)
Rugby World Cup
- Hosting cost of $40m is money well spent – 54% agree, 40% disagree
- 50% less likely to buy Adidas in future due to jersey prices
- 69% think All Blacks will win, 17% do not